Forecast of the semi-finished fish market in India
The relevance of research
The production of fish semi-finished products and especially fish culinary products in all countries has recently become widespread. Fish semi-finished products do not require a laborious process of cutting fish, they are already prepared for heat treatment, they are supplied to the consumer in a chilled or frozen form
Purpose of the study
Analysis of the state of the semi-finished fish market in India, assessment of the market size, analysis of competitors, as well as identification of factors influencing the market of semi-finished fish from fish
Content
Chapter 1. Key components of the prepared fish market
1.1. Market size
1.2. Growth rates of the semi-finished fish market
1.3. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market
1.4. Volume and dynamics of production of semi-finished fish products
1.5. Import of semi-finished products from fish. Volume and dynamics
1.6. Export of semi-finished products from fish. Volume and dynamics
1.7. Share of exports in production
Chapter 2. Economic characteristics of the market
2.1. Semi-finished fish market trends
2.2. The main problems of the industry
2.3. Estimation of the number of buyers and their financial capabilities
2.4. Estimated consumption per capita
2.5. Analysis of sectoral indicators of financial and economic activity
2.6. Compact location of industry companies in certain regions
2.7. Stage of the life cycle of the semi-finished fish market
Chapter 3
3.1. Economic components
3.2. Social Components
3.3. Technological components
3.4. Political Components
3.5. STEP-analysis of the semi-finished fish market
Chapter 4. Assessment of the degree of competition
4.1. Scale of competition (local, regional, national, global)
4.2. Number of competitors and relative market shares of the largest competitors
4.3. Competition from substitute products
Chapter 5 Industry Forecasts
5.1. Analysis of the impact of recent crises on the industry (the global crisis of 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014)
5.2. Analysis of the impact on the state aid industry at the current date
5.3. Assessment of the degree of impact of the crisis due to covid-19 on the analyzed market. Barriers existing in the market of semi-finished fish products
5.4. Prospects and growth drivers for the semi-finished fish market
5.5. Forecast for the development of the semi-finished fish market in the context of the current economic crisis due to covid-19
Chapter 6 Forecasting Methodology
6.1. Methods for forecasting key industry indicators
6.2. Sources of information for forecasting
6.3. Timing of forecasting
Research excerpt
Chapter 1. Key components of the prepared fish market
1.1. Market size
The production of fish semi-finished products and especially fish culinary products in all countries has recently become widespread. Fish semi-finished products do not require ...
The production of semi-finished fish products allows …
Fish semi-finished products include ...
At the end of 2020, the market volume amounted to … thousand tons. At the same time, …% is leading in the structure of Indian production. Other types of semi-finished products are significantly inferior in volumes of this category. In second place is ..., including ... - ...%, in third - ...
1.2. Growth rates of the semi-finished fish market
The growth rate of the market for semi-finished fish products in the period 2013-2020 allow us to state …%: from … thousand tons in 2013 to … thousand tons in 2020,
The largest market decline occurred in … due to a reduction in ... When considering the market growth rates since 2015, we can conclude that the market continues ... For 2015-2020. market volume …%.
In 2020, the market shows …% compared to 2019, which is associated with an increase in …
1.3. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market
The Indian ready-to-cook fish market is dominated by … products. In 2015, the share of imports was … p.p., which was primarily due to …, which allowed Indian manufacturers … to enter the market. At the end of 2020, the share of domestic products on the market amounted to …%, which became … the value for the entire study period.
Diagram 3. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, %
1.4. Volume and dynamics of production of semi-finished fish products
The volume of production of semi-finished fish products annually shows ... Only in 2014 did …%. At the end of 2020, the production of semi-finished fish products by Indian enterprises amounted to … thousand tons, which exceeded the indicator of … years by …% and the production volumes of … years by …%. In general, for the study period, the figure was … thousand tons.
The largest volumes of semi-finished fish products are produced in ... the federal district - ... thousand tons, followed by ... the federal district with a volume of ... thousand tons, closing the top three districts ...
1.5. Import of semi-finished products from fish. Volume and dynamics
During the analyzed period, there was … imports in 2015 by …%, in 2016 a decrease of … thousand tons. This is primarily due to…
In value (dollar) terms, the volume of imports of semi-finished fish products in 2020 amounted to … million US dollars, which is by …% … the level of 2019 and …% lower than the level of …
1.6. Export of semi-finished products from fish. Volume and dynamics
After ... in 2014, in 2015-2018 the volume of export deliveries of semi-finished fish products from India shows …. According to the results of 2019, the volume of exports was …%, however, in 2020 …% amounted to … thousand tons.
According to market participants, ... It is the norm for domestic producers ...
In dollar terms, the volume of exports of semi-finished fish products from India in 2019 amounted to … million US dollars, which is by …% … the level of 2019 and by …% … y. in dollar terms in 2020 is …
1.7. Share of exports in production
Export direction in the Indian market of semi-finished fish products ... The share of exports in the production of semi-finished fish products at the end of 2020 amounted to …%, having increased relative to … by … p.p.
The maximum share of exports in the study period was observed in … yr – …%, the minimum – in … yr with …%.
Chapter 2. Economic characteristics of the market
2.1. Semi-finished fish market trends
...
2.2. The main problems of the industry
The main problems of the industry include:
...
2.3. Estimation of the number of buyers and their financial capabilities
During 2012-2017 India's population showed … dynamics. However, for 2018 the vector …
Diagram 10. Dynamics of the population of India, million people, as of 01 Jan. 2012-2021
The current demographic situation in India is characterized by… accelerating and migratory…
The resident population of India as of January 1, 2021, as of …, amounted to … million people, which is by … thousand people … than as of January 1, 2020 …
In general, according to the estimate of …, the population of India will be …
...
At the same time, the dynamics of real incomes of the population during 2014-2017. of the population …, so in 2014 real incomes decreased by … compared to 2013, in 2015 – by …% compared to 2014, in 2016 – the situation is … In 2018, real incomes of the population showed …%, instead of predicted …%, which indicates … At the end of 2019, the real money incomes of Indians …%. The peak value was reached in…
According to Rosstat, the real disposable money income of Indians in 2020 decreased by …% compared to 2019. 2, which was the brunt of the pandemic crisis, revenues ... The consequences of the covid-2020 pandemic and quarantine restrictions were …
In 1 sq. 2021 real disposable income of the population …% relative to 1 sq.m. 2020 Revenue turn towards growth expected from …
...
… real disposable incomes of the population in aggregate … of the population … are reflected in the market of semi-finished fish products.
2.4. Estimated consumption per capita
In 2015, against the background of the crisis, the volume of consumption of semi-finished fish products … up to … kg/person. By 2019, the indicator has grown to … kg/person, but in 2020, … kg/person.
2.5. Analysis of sectoral indicators of financial and economic activity
According to GidMarket's calculation, made on the basis of data on financial indicators …, the gross profitability of the semi-finished fish industry during the entire period under review is … the level for all industries as a whole. In 2020, the indicator amounted to …%, which is by … p.p. … the level of gross margin in all industries.
Profitability before tax in the entire study period (2015-2020) … than that of all industries in India. In 2020, the profitability of pre-tax profit in the semi-finished fish industry amounted to …%.
Diagram 13. Profitability before tax (profit of the reporting period) in the industry of semi-finished fish products in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2015-2020, %
The values of current liquidity … “2,5” indicates ... At the end of 2020, current liquidity amounted to … times.
For Indian companies, the standard value of the absolute liquidity ratio is within ... In the industry of semi-finished fish products in 2019-2020. the absolute liquidity indicator is significantly ... of the normative value, which indicates ...
In general, the analysis of sectoral financial ratios in the industry of semi-finished fish products shows …
2.6. Compact location of industry companies in certain regions
The highest level of concentration of companies producing semi-finished fish products in … regions is …%, … – …%, …%, respectively. In other regions, there are …% of the industry's companies.
Diagram 15. Compactness of location of companies in the industry in certain regions, 2020, %
2.7. Stage of the life cycle of the semi-finished fish market
The market for semi-finished fish products is at the stage of ... the life cycle.
...
Chapter 3
3.1. Economic components
GDP dynamics
GDP is a macroeconomic indicator that reflects the market value of all final goods and services produced in a year during...
The dynamics of India's GDP is decisive in the vector of development of the entire economy of the country and determines …
In 2012-2014 the GDP growth rate was …, but was constantly decreasing, and in 2015 it was … In 2015, which was the peak of the crisis in the state, the decline in GDP was …% compared to the previous year is directly proportional to the well-being of citizens, then this indicates ...
In 2016, GDP stagnated, at the end of 2017, this indicator demonstrates …
According to the results of 2017-2019, the dynamics of GDP …, but, … According to Rosstat, in 2019 the GDP growth rate was …%.
In 2020, the decline in India's GDP, according to the second estimate of Rosstat, amounted to …%. This is the biggest drop in GDP since 2009, when the country's economy shrank by …%. As noted in …, the decline in GDP is mainly due to …
India's GDP, according to the Ministry of Economic Development, in January-May 2021 grew by …% compared to the corresponding period of 2020, while in April …
...
3.2. Social Components
...
3.3. Technological components
...
3.4. Political Components
...
3.5. STEP-analysis of the semi-finished fish market
According to the results of the performed STEP-analysis, the influence of macro-environment factors on the development of the market for semi-finished fish products ..., however, ... factors in combination with ... (described in paragraph 2.3.) surpass ...
Among the significant negative factors are also … The positive influence on the market is …
Table 4. STEP analysis of factors influencing the semi-finished fish market
Chapter 4. Assessment of the degree of competition
4.1. Scale of competition (local, regional, national, global)
In the market of semi-finished fish products, ... types of competition are developed.
There is a wide choice in retail outlets of the regions…
Presence of foreign brands…
...
4.2. Number of competitors and relative market shares of the largest competitors
Most of the leading companies producing semi-finished fish products are primarily engaged in …
The exception in this list is OOO “…”. Also note that this company…
The assessment of the shares of the largest operators in the market of semi-finished fish products was carried out by the GidMarket company on the basis of ..
At the end of 2020, PJSC “…” leads in terms of sales revenue … with a market share, according to GidMarket, …%. The second place is occupied by … with a share of …%. Followed by … - …%. Rounding out the top five are … Other participants occupy …% of the semi-finished fish market.
Diagram 21. Shares of the largest competitors in the semi-finished fish market in 2020, %
In terms of competitive concentration, the market belongs to … (Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI …). ...
4.3. Competition from substitute products
The main competitor of semi-finished fish products is ...
...
Chapter 5 Industry Forecasts
5.1. Analysis of the impact of recent crises on the industry (the global crisis of 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014)
...
In the first half of 2020, many markets felt the impact of the pandemic and the onset of the economic crisis. Let us analyze the data on the impact of recent crises on the market of semi-finished fish products (the global crisis in 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014).
The most significant difference between the current crisis and the previous ones is the introduction of…
5.2. Analysis of the impact on the state aid industry at the current date
Since the introduction of restrictive measures in India related to the spread of a new coronavirus infection, the state has…
The fish processing industry...
The measures described in the table are general support measures that can be used in the surveyed industry and have not expired.
Table 7. Analysis of the impact on the industry of the state aid proposed as of April 26.07.2021,
5.3. Assessment of the degree of impact of the crisis due to covid-19 on the analyzed market. Barriers existing in the market of semi-finished fish products
...
5.4. Prospects and growth drivers for the semi-finished fish market
...
5.5. Forecast for the development of the semi-finished fish market in the context of the current economic crisis due to covid-19
...
Chapter 6 Forecasting Methodology
...
Diagrams
Chart 1. Structure of Indian production of semi-finished fish products, 2020, %
Diagram 2. Dynamics of the market volume of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, tons
Diagram 3. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, %
Diagram 4. Dynamics of production volumes of semi-finished fish products in India, 2013–2020, tons
Diagram 5. Volume and dynamics of imports of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, tons
Diagram 6. Volume and dynamics of imports of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, thousand US dollars
Diagram 7. Volume and dynamics of export of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, tons
Diagram 8. Volume and dynamics of exports of semi-finished fish products, 2013–2020, thousand US dollars
Chart 9. Share of exports in production, 2013–2020, %
Diagram 10. Dynamics of the population of India, million people, as of 01 Jan. 2012-2021
Diagram 11. Dynamics of real incomes of the population of India, % to the previous year, 2012-Q1 2021
Diagram 12. The volume of consumption in the market of semi-finished fish products per capita, 2013–2020, kg/person
Diagram 13. Profitability before tax (profit of the reporting period) in the industry of semi-finished fish products in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2015-2020, %
Diagram 14. Current liquidity (total coverage) for the industry of semi-finished fish products for 2015–2020, times
Diagram 15. Compactness of location of companies in the industry in certain regions, 2020, %
Diagram 16. Stage of the life cycle of the semi-finished fish market
Chart 17. Dynamics of India's GDP, 2012-May 2021, % to the previous year
Diagram 18. Monthly dynamics of the US dollar against the rupee, Rs. for 1 US dollar, 2016-Jul. 2021
Diagram 19. Number of fishing sea vessels, fishing bases and fish transport vessels, 2009-2020, pcs.
Diagram 20. Shares of fishing sea vessels, fishing bases and fish transport vessels by depreciation, 2020, %
Diagram 21. Shares of the largest competitors in the semi-finished fish market in 2020, %
Diagram 22. Forecast of the market volume of semi-finished fish products in 2021–2025, thousand tons
Tables
Table 1. Gross margin of the semi-finished fish industry in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2015-2020, %
Table 2. Absolute liquidity of the semi-finished fish industry in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2015-2020, times
Table 3. Urban and rural population in India in 2014-2020, million people, %
Table 4. STEP analysis of factors influencing the semi-finished fish market
Table 5. Main companies participating in the semi-finished fish market in 2020
Table 6. Assessment of the impact of recent crises on the industry
Table 7. Analysis of the impact on the industry of the state aid proposed as of April 26.07.2021,
Table 8. Forecast indicators of the development of the Indian economy
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