Forecast of the market of application sites for buying airline tickets in India

The relevance of research

The development of online channels remains the main trend in distribution in the air transportation market. The pandemic has only increased the importance and relevance of this channel

Purpose of the study

Analysis of the state of the market of application sites for buying airline tickets in India, assessing the size of the market, analyzing competitors, as well as identifying factors influencing the market of application sites for buying airline tickets

Content 
Chapter 1
1.1. Market size
1.2. Growth rates of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
1.3. Trends in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
1.4. The main problems of the industry
1.5. Stage of the life cycle of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets
1.6. Estimation of the number of buyers and their financial capabilities
1.7. Estimated consumption per capita
1.8. Analysis of sectoral indicators of financial and economic activity
1.9. Price analysis
Chapter 2
2.1. Economic components
2.2. Social Components
2.3. Technological components
2.4. Political Components
2.5. STEP-analysis of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
Chapter 3. Assessment of the degree of competition
3.1. Scale of competition (local, regional, national, global)
3.2. Number of competitors and relative market shares of the largest competitors
3.3. Compact location of industry companies in certain regions
Chapter 4 Industry Forecasts
4.1. Analysis of the impact of recent crises on the industry (the global crisis of 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014)
4.2. Analysis of the impact on the state aid industry at the current date
4.3. Assessment of the degree of impact of the crisis due to covid-19 on the analyzed market. Barriers existing in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets
4.4. Prospects and growth drivers for the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
4.5. Forecast for the development of the market for websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in the context of the current economic crisis due to covid-19
Chapter 5 Forecasting Methodology
5.1. Methods for forecasting key industry indicators
5.2. Sources of information for forecasting
5.3. Timing of forecasting

Research excerpt 
Chapter 1
1.1. Market size 
At the end of 2020, the market volume amounted to … billion Rs. Coronavirus and the associated lockdown have caused...
According to the data of …, about half of the market … (…%) accounted for …, …% — …, … All other segments in total accounted for …%. According to 2019 data, the distribution is already slightly different: …
The development of online channels remains the main trend in distribution on the market... The pandemic has only increased the importance and demand for this channel: for example, in Aeroflot, the share of sales through online resources and the call center … p.p. — from …% in 2019 to …% in 2020. The largest share in the structure of sales by channels accounted for …%. The share of own sales amounted to …%. A significant change in the structure of sales channels is associated with a decrease in …
At the same time, the mobile application market is developing ...
Among the main factors in the growth of the popularity of the online model, the following advantages can be distinguished:
...
1.2. Growth rates of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets 
Market growth rates in the period 2016-2019 demonstrated …%, industries predicted further growth, however, the coronavirus pandemic …, bringing down online purchases of airline tickets …%. 
1.3. Trends in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
...
1.4. The main problems of the industry 
...
1.5. Stage of the life cycle of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets
The market for websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets is in the stage of ... ...
The level of competition in the market has become...
1.6. Estimation of the number of buyers and their financial capabilities 
During 2012-2017 the population of India showed ... However, in 2018 the vector changed - the population of ... 
The current demographic situation in India is characterized by ... a population (since 2017) that is accelerating, and a migration increase that is ...
The number of resident population of India as of January 1, 2021, according to preliminary … amounted to … million people, which is … thousand people less than on January 1, 2020. A more massive reduction was observed in India in 2005 — …
Diagram 3. Population dynamics in India, as of 01 Jan. 2012-2021, million people

In general, according to the assessment of the Cabinet of Ministers, the population of India will decrease over the next four years, and positive growth rates are expected ...
Rosstat predicts that the birth rate (the number of children per woman) will decrease from the current ... to ... by 2025.
Earlier, Rosstat published a demographic forecast until 2036. The most optimistic scenario assumes …
...
At the same time, the dynamics of real incomes of the population during 2014-2017. population …, so in 2014 real incomes decreased …% compared to 2013, in 2015 – by …% compared to 2014, in 2016 – the situation is even more …
According to Rosstat, the real disposable money income of Indians in 2020 decreased by …% compared to 2019. The consequences of the covid-19 pandemic and quarantine restrictions were a decrease in …
In 2 sq. In 2021, real disposable incomes increased by …% against the same quarter a year ago after declining by …% in the first quarter of the year. Growth in the 2nd quarter. 2021 was expected, …
According to the results of the 1st half of 2021, real disposable income increased by …% compared to the same half of 2020, however, the indicator is still …
1.7. Estimated consumption per capita
The assessment of the volume of consumption of websites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets was carried out by GidMarket analysts based on the ratio …
The highest consumption per capita in the study period was noted in 2019 with an indicator of … thousand Rs./person. At the end of 2020, the indicator amounted to … thousand Rs./person, which is lower than consumption in 2019 …
1.8. Analysis of sectoral indicators of financial and economic activity
According to the GidMarket calculation, based on data on financial indicators of key …, the gross margin of the industry of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in 2016-2020. significantly ... the level of values ​​for all industries as a whole. 
In 2020, the indicator amounted to …%, which is by … p.p. … the level of gross margin in all industries.
The profitability before tax reflects the share of revenue that has remained in the enterprise as ... The value of the indicator in the industry of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets is ... the average level in India, and by the end of 2020 it is also ...
Chart 6. Profit margin before tax (earnings for the reporting period) in the website and mobile applications industry for buying air tickets compared to all sectors of the Indian economy, 2016-2020, - , 

Current liquidity characterizes the extent to which all short-term obligations of the enterprise are secured ... Only in 2019, the indicator was within ... times, which is ... At the end of 2020, the current liquidity of the industry amounted to ... times, which indicates ...
Absolute liquidity shows what part of short-term liabilities can be repaid in the shortest possible time. For Indian companies, the normative value of the absolute liquidity ratio is in …
In general, the analysis of sectoral financial ratios of the industry shows …
1.9. Price analysis 
There are many factors that affect the price of an air ticket: date, time of departure, airline and class (business or economy), etc. Here are consumer prices for a flight in the economy class cabin of an aircraft, per 1000 km of travel. 
According to …, in 2020 …% was observed against the background of the pandemic. However, already in 2021, the price index …% overtook …
The average cost of a flight in India in 2021 was … Rs./1000 km. The limited volume of available destinations creates a high demand for open …
Table 4. Average prices in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for purchasing air tickets in the Union Territories, 2016-Aug. 2021 

Chapter 2 
2.1. Economic components 
India GDP
GDP is a macroeconomic indicator that reflects the market value of all final goods and services produced ...
India's GDP is …
In 2012-2014 the GDP growth rate was positive, but constantly declining, and in 2015 it was less than zero. In 2015, which was the peak of the crisis in the state, the decline in GDP amounted to …% compared to the previous year of 2014, and since the dynamics of GDP is directly proportional to the well-being of citizens, this indicates …
...
In 2020, the decline in India's GDP, according to …, amounted to …%. This is the biggest drop in GDP since 2009, when the country's economy shrank by …%. According to Rosstat, the decline in GDP is mainly due to …
India's GDP, according to the Ministry of Economic Development, in January-May 2021 grew by …% compared to the corresponding period in 2020, while …
...
2.2. Social Components 
...
2.3. Technological components 
...
2.4. Political Components 
...
2.5. STEP-analysis of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
According to the results of the performed STEP-analysis, macro-environment factors have a greater influence on the development of the market for Internet sites and mobile applications for purchasing air tickets.
Significant negative factors include...
Table 5. STEP-analysis of factors influencing the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets

Chapter 3. Assessment of the degree of competition 
3.1. Scale of competition (local, regional, national, global) 
...
3.2. Number of competitors and relative market shares of the largest competitors 
Online ticketing services are in competition with the online services of service providers…
The rating was compiled among third-party online services for the sale of air tickets, excluding ...
It should be noted that in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets, ... According to ..., the market of metasearch engines in India is divided by ... (...%), ...
The leader in the market of websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets (excluding metasearch engines and airlines) is the company …, which occupies about …% of the market. 
Diagram 12. Shares of the largest competitors in the market of websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in 2020, %

The total revenue of the TOP-5 operators of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets until 2019 demonstrates …. In 2020, the total revenue decreased by …% due to …
3.3. Compact location of industry companies in certain regions
The largest number of companies offering to book tickets online are located in … (…%) and … (…%). 
At the same time, the aviation mobility of the population of remote and hard-to-reach regions is …% lower than the average Indian values ​​— …
Diagram 14. Compact location of companies in the industry in certain regions, %

Chapter 4 Industry Forecasts 
4.1. Analysis of the impact of recent crises on the industry (the global crisis of 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014) 
...
In the first half of 2020, many markets felt the impact of the pandemic and the onset of the economic crisis. Let us analyze data on the impact of recent crises on the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets (the global crisis of 2008 and the currency crisis in India in 2014).
Table 7. Assessment of the impact of recent crises on the industry

...
4.2. Analysis of the impact on the state aid industry at the current date 
...
4.3. Assessment of the degree of impact of the crisis due to covid-19 on the analyzed market. Barriers existing in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets
...
4.5. Forecast for the development of the market for websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in the context of the current economic crisis due to covid-19
...

Chapter 5 Forecasting Methodology 

5.1. Methods for forecasting key industry indicators 
..
5.2. Sources of information for forecasting 
...
5.3. Timing of forecasting
...

Diagrams

Diagram 1. Dynamics of the volume of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets, 2016–2020, million Rs.
Diagram 2. Stage of the life cycle of the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
Diagram 3. Population dynamics in India, as of 01 Jan. 2012-2021, million people
Diagram 4. Dynamics of real incomes of the population of India, % to the previous year, 2012-1 half a year. 2021
Diagram 5. The volume of consumption in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets per capita, 2016–2020, Rs./person
Diagram 6. Profitability before tax (profit of the reporting period) in the industry of Internet sites and mobile applications for the purchase of air tickets in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2016–2020, %
Diagram 7. Current liquidity (total coverage) for the industry of websites and mobile applications for purchasing air tickets for 2016–2020, times
Chart 8. Dynamics of India's GDP, 2012-May 2021, % to the previous year
Diagram 9. Monthly dynamics of the US dollar against the rupee, Rs. for 1 US dollar, 2016-Sep. 2021
Chart 10. Internet penetration in India among the audience of 16 years and older, %, 2016-2020
Diagram 11. The number of international and domestic passenger air transportation in the number of passengers, 2010-2020, billion people
Diagram 12. Shares of the largest competitors in the market of websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in 2020, %
Chart 13. Dynamics of the total revenue of the largest operators of the market of websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets (TOP-5) in India, 2016–2020, million Rs.
Diagram 14. Compact location of companies in the industry in certain regions, %
Chart 15. Forecast of the market size of websites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in 2021–2025, billion Rs.

Tables

Table 1. Gross Margin of Websites and Mobile Applications for Airline Ticketing Industry Compared to All Industries in India, 2016-2020, %
Table 2. Absolute liquidity of the Internet sites and mobile applications industry for buying air tickets in comparison with all sectors of the Indian economy, 2016-2020, times
Table 3. Consumer price indices in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in India in 2016–Aug. 2021, %
Table 4. Average prices in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for purchasing air tickets in the Union Territories, 2016-Aug. 2021
Table 5. STEP-analysis of factors influencing the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets
Table 6. Main companies participating in the market of Internet sites and mobile applications for buying air tickets in 2020
Table 7. Assessment of the impact of recent crises on the industry
Table 8. Analysis of the impact on the industry of the state aid proposed as of April 24.09.2021,
Table 9. Forecast indicators of the development of the Indian economy