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Analysis of the market of slaked, quicklime and hydraulic lime in Kazakhstan

Release date 24.06.2022

Number of pages 40

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The relevance of research

Due to its natural purity, lime is highly environmentally friendly and is widely used in various fields of activity from metallurgy, the production of building materials, and up to the food industry, medicine and agriculture.

Purpose of the study

Analysis of the state of the market for hydrated, quicklime and hydraulic lime in Kazakhstan, assessment of the market size, analysis of competitors, as well as identification of factors affecting the market for hydrated, quicklime and hydraulic lime in Kazakhstan)

Content

Part 1. Market overview of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) Kazakhstan

1.1. Main characteristics of the market

1.2. Dynamics of the market volume of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan in 2016–2020 Potential market capacity

1.3. Trends, problems and prospects of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

1.4. Assessment of factors affecting the market

1.5. Life cycle stage of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

1.6. Competition from substitute products

1.7. Analysis of conducted public tenders for the purchase

Part 2. The main companies of Kazakhstan in the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

2.1. The main companies producing lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

2.2. Market shares of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) of the main producers

2.3. Profiles of major manufacturing companies

Part 3. Lime production analysis (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

3.1. Volume and dynamics of domestic production of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

3.2. Share of exports in lime production (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

Part 4. Analysis of foreign trade deliveries of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) of Kazakhstan

4.1. The volume and dynamics of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

4.2. Import structure

4.3. Lime export volume and dynamics (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

4.4. Export structure

Part 5. Assessment of factors of investment attractiveness of the market

Part 6. Forecast for the development of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan until 2025

Part 7. Recommendations and conclusions

Research excerpt

Part 1. Market overview of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) Kazakhstan

1.1. Main characteristics of the market

...

Hydrated lime is not so popular, but it is used in the production of dry mortars, as well as in the flotation and leaching of non-ferrous metal ores.

Hydraulic lime is used in extremely small quantities, mainly for operation in a humid environment.

Some enterprises, for example, silicate plants LLP ""Silikat"" in Semey, JSC ""West Kazakhstan Corporation of Building Materials"" in Uralsk, etc. for the production of silicate bricks and concrete have their own lime-burning workshops. For the manufacture of these products, grades 2 and 3 of building lime are quite suitable.

Chart 1. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan, 2017–2021, %

The lime market in Kazakhstan during the study period is dominated by domestic products, but its share is declining annually, which largely depends on both the volume of imports into the country and the size of its own production.

...

1.2. Dynamics of the market volume of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan in 2016–2020 Potential market capacity

Let's consider the dynamics of the market volume of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan.

In general, the values throughout the entire study period are quite stable and are within ... - ... million tons of lime. With a decrease in production, domestic needs are covered by an increase in imports.

Relative to 2020, the market volume increased by … % and amounted to … thousand tons of lime in 2021.

...

Lime consumption is expected to increase, primarily in metallurgy and construction. GidMarket analysts estimate the potential capacity of the lime market in the long term at “plus” … %” to the volume of 2021, or about … million tons.

1.3. Trends, problems and prospects of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

Among the main trends and prospects of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan are:

Use of lime produced by enterprises almost in full for their own needs (as a rule, for the production of sand-lime brick);
...
...

Prospects for further development of the lime market largely depend on the state of the main consuming industries.

...

1.4. Assessment of factors affecting the market

Macroeconomic factors influence the dynamics of all sectors of the economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, including the lime market. The main groups of factors are: economic, political, social and technological.

Economic

GDP

GDP (gross domestic product) is used to determine the rate of economic development of any state. GDP is a macroeconomic indicator that reflects the total value of goods, works and services that were produced and provided in the country in a year. Gross domestic product is the main indicator on the basis of which the level and pace of the country's economic development are determined.

...

Industrial Production Index

The indicator of the dynamics of the volume of industrial production, its rise or fall, is determined as the ratio of the current volume of production in monetary terms to the volume of industrial production in the previous or other base year.

This index characterizes the change in GDP due to the fundamental sectors of the economy: mining, manufacturing, production and distribution of electricity, gas and water.

...

Diagram 4. Dynamics of the IPP of Kazakhstan in 2013-Apr. 2022, % to the previous year

The dynamics of the US dollar

In 2016–1 quarter. In 2018, the change in the exchange rate of the dollar against the tenge is oscillatory, and from the 3rd quarter of 2018, progressive growth began.

...

Социальные

Population

During 2013–2022, there was an increase in the population of Kazakhstan. As of 1 Jan. In 2022, the indicator amounted to … million … thousand people, which is … % higher than the level of the beginning of 2021 and … % higher than the data for the beginning of 2013. Population growth is due to both the birth rate and the increase in life expectancy.

...

Construction volumes

During the entire period presented, the indicator of commissioning of residential buildings in Kazakhstan tends to increase - the index of the physical volume of the total area of commissioned residential buildings exceeds …%. In 2021, the total commissioned area amounted to … mln sq. m. m, which is … % higher than the level of 2020.

...

New projects

In autumn 2021, the construction of a plant for the production of high-quality lime, which is needed by ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, the chemical industry and other industries, began in the Osakarovskiy district. The future enterprise will supply its products not only to the domestic market, but also for export.

...

Development of consuming industries

Kazakhstan plans to launch over 400 new production facilities worth 11 trillion tenge.

According to the Ministry of National Economy, in 2021-2025. in Kazakhstan they want to implement 418 projects. It is expected that the total investment will amount to 11,1 trillion tenge.

...

Political

Credit policy

Today it is quite difficult to imagine the progressive development of the economy without the active participation of the credit system. It should also be noted that the assessment of the availability of credit resources for both legal entities and individuals is a significant indicator that allows assessing not only the demand for credit funds, but can also serve as a reflection of the real economic situation both in the region and in the economy as a whole.

...

Concluding the assessment of the factors influencing the lime market, we will summarize the key ones in the framework of the STEP-analysis.

Table 1. STEP analysis of factors affecting the market of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

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1.6. Competition from substitute products

Lime is obtained from limestone by burning it at high temperatures. The resulting material, when interacting with water, actively releases carbon dioxide. This process is called lime slaking. Lime must be quenched for the bulk of its applications. Slaked lime turns into a pasty mass that can be stored for years without losing its qualities. Quicklime is very flammable, because when even a small amount of water gets on it, it begins to be extinguished, and a high temperature arises that can ignite wooden structures.

...

1.7. Analysis of conducted public tenders for the purchase

For the period 2021-Apr. In 2022, according to the portal ""Public Procurement of the Republic of Kazakhstan"", ads were placed for 1 public procurements for the keyword ""lime"". Of these, only 838 are directly related to slaked lime and quicklime (no purchases of hydraulic lime were found). Part of the purchases did not take place due to the lack of submitted price proposals.

...

Part 2. The main companies of Kazakhstan in the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

2.1. The main companies producing lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

Let's present general information about the largest lime producers in Kazakhstan.

Table 2. Major companies producing lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan in 2021

2.2. Market shares of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) of the main producers

The assessment of the shares of the largest operators in the lime market was made by GidMarket analysts, taking into account the share of lime in the total assortment of the company, and therefore an error is possible.

...

Foreign manufacturers in terms of money occupy …% of the market.

2.3. Profiles of major manufacturing companies

There is low marketing activity among lime producers in Kazakhstan. Most companies do not develop the site and poorly promote themselves in the market.

...

Part 3. Lime production analysis (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

3.1. Volume and dynamics of domestic production of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

In 2018–2020 lime production declined. The largest reduction in this period was observed in the Karaganda region - ""minus"" ... % or ""minus"" ... thousand tons.

...

Diagram 9. Structure of lime production (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan by region, 2021, %

3.2. Share of exports in lime production (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

The share of exports in the production of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) is quite low and in the study period is within ... - ...%.

Almost all lime produced is used domestically.

...

Part 4. Analysis of foreign trade deliveries of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) of Kazakhstan

4.1. The volume and dynamics of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

The volume of lime imports (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) to Kazakhstan in 2017–2019 was within … – … thousand tons.

...

4.2. Import structure

The number of lime importing countries has dropped from six to two since 2017. In the structure of imports, according to the results of 2021, …% of lime from Uzbekistan and …% from India were supplied to Kazakhstan. Since 2017, the share of Uzbekistan has increased by 4,2 p.p., India - by 2,6 p.p. by 2021

Table 3. Structure of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) by importing countries in 2021

4.3. Lime export volume and dynamics (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic)

The specificity of the lime market lies in the fact that almost the entire volume of production is used for domestic consumption, and only a small part is exported. Export of lime from Kazakhstan in 2021 amounted to … thousand tons, which became the minimum value in the entire study period.

...

Part 6. Forecast for the development of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan until 2025

The following factors make it possible to predict the dynamics of the lime market volume:

Current trends and prospects for the development of the market;
Forecast dynamics of the level of real incomes of the population;

...

Part 7. Recommendations and conclusions

...

For both new and existing operators in the lime market, the following recommendations can be made:

Diagrams

Chart 1. The ratio of imported and domestic products in the market of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan, 2017–2021, %

Diagram 2. Dynamics of the market volume of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan, 2017–2021, thousand tons

Diagram 3. Dynamics of GDP in Kazakhstan, 2013–1 quarter 2022, billion tenge, %

Diagram 4. Dynamics of the IPP of Kazakhstan in 2013-Apr. 2022, % to the previous year

Chart 5. Quarterly dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate against the tenge, 2017–1 quarter 2022, tenge per 1 US dollar

Diagram 6. Dynamics of the population of Kazakhstan at the beginning of the year, 2013–2022, thousand people

Diagram 7. Dynamics of real incomes of the population of Kazakhstan, 2013–1 quarter 2022, % to the previous year

Diagram 8. Dynamics of commissioning of residential buildings in Kazakhstan in 2013-Apr. 2022, thousand sq. m of total area

Diagram 9. Dynamics of the volume of construction work in Kazakhstan, 2013-Apr. 2022 bln tenge

Diagram 10. Life cycle stage of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

Diagram 11. Shares of the main producing companies of Kazakhstan in the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in 2021, %

Diagram 12. Dynamics of production volumes of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan for 2017–2021, tons

Diagram 13. Structure of lime production (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan by region, 2021, %

Diagram 14. The share of exports in production for 2017–2021, %

Diagram 15. Volume and dynamics of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) to Kazakhstan in physical terms, 2017–2021, tons

Chart 16. Volume and dynamics of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) to Kazakhstan in monetary terms, 2017–2021, USD million

Diagram 17. Dynamics of lime export (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) from Kazakhstan in natural terms, 2017–2021, tons

Chart 18. Dynamics of lime export (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) from Kazakhstan in monetary terms, 2017–2021, USD mln

Chart 19. Balance of exports and imports, 2017–2021, tons

Diagram 20. Forecast of the market volume of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan in 2022–2026, million tons

Tables

Table 1. Weighted average interest rates of banks on loans issued in tenge, 2017 (Dec.)–2022 (Mar.), %

Table 2. Requirements for lime in accordance with GOST

Table 3. STEP analysis of factors affecting the market of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

Table 4. Announcements on public procurement of hydrated and quicklime of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2021–April 2022 for amounts over 200 thousand tenge

Table 5. Major companies producing lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan in 2021

Table 6. Profiles of the main producing companies in the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in 2021

Table 7. Structure of imports of lime (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) by importing countries in 2021

Table 8. Structure of lime exports (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) by recipient countries in 2021

Table 9. Assessment of factors of investment attractiveness of the lime market (slaked, quicklime and hydraulic) in Kazakhstan

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